17 political experts share Election Day result predictions

Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster

"A close race in the polls does not necessarily mean the outcome will be close," pollsters FiveThirtyEight wrote on their website.

Election forecast tracks a tight presidential race

A Northwestern University data scientist is running a novel forecasting platform that updates the odds of a win by former President Donald Trump or Vice ...

15 Experts Predict What Biden's Dropout Means for the 2024 Election

A week ago, former President Donald Trump was nearly assassinated. Today, President Joe Biden dropped his reelection bid. To put it mildly, ...

Election predictor Allan Lichtman laments threats and toxic reaction ...

Professor says his '13 keys' system shows Kamala Harris will defeat Donald Trump.

How accurate are political polls really? | The Week

With the 2024 presidential election just days away, new data from pollsters about the presidential election is seemingly being released every day. In the ...

When and how is the call made to declare a winner on election night?

With Donald Trump and Kamala Harris neck and neck in the polls, Northeastern University political experts say the 2024 presidential election ...

Risks of Violence around the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: A Primer

Elections scheduled for 5 November will pit Trump, the Republican Party nominee, against Vice President Kamala Harris, who became the Democratic ...

Who is winning the election? Top data scientist launches electoral ...

Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, bases his predictions not on the polls, but on where people are placing ...

2020 déjà vu: Why the 2024 election could take days to call

Experts warn that most swing states' vote counting and certification procedures could again extend beyond Election Day, despite a mixed bag of rule changes.

Allan Lichtman predicts who will win 2024 election: Harris or Trump?

Allan Lichtman, historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's ...

Why is this election predicted to be so close? : r/Ask_Politics - Reddit

This election should be a lot less close than is projected. For starters, around 15 million Gen Z are now old enough to vote, having been too young in 2020.

2024 Elections: News, Polls and Analysis - The New York Times

The latest news about the 2024 races, including updates on the presidential candidates, the primaries, the polls and the biggest issues.

(((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) / X

Trump's now under 50% in the popular vote. His margin ranks 44 of 51 since 1824. Weak coattails: 4 Dems won for Senate in states Trump won. (It was 0 in 2016 & ...

Video: Analysts discuss role of gender in election results | CNN Politics

CNN's Dana Bash talks to former Republican Rep. Adam Kinzinger, president of Axis Research Brenda Gianiny, and CNN political commentator ...

FiveThirtyEight Interactives | FiveThirtyEight

Do Voters Want Democrats Or Republicans In Congress? By Aaron Bycoffe, Dhrumil Mehta and Nate Silver. Sep 25, 2023. Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate ...

US pollster gives expert opinion on US election result - YouTube

A special interview with the forecaster who's correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections.

Big voter turnout this year benefited Republicans, contradicting ...

The 2024 presidential election featured sky-high turnout, approaching the historic levels of the 2020 contest and contradicting long-held ...

Cook Political Report | Non-Partisan Political Analysis for US ...

The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes state, federal and presidential elections, and American ...

Were the 2024 election polls wrong? UCR expert weighs in

Most political polls for the 2024 presidential election saw a close race in the electoral college, and a resounding popular-vote victory for ...

Presidential Election 2024: Market Forecast | Morgan Stanley

Certain economic indicators and stock market trends have historically forecasted which US presidential candidate is likely to prevail. Here's what investors ...