Decadal prediction

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability.

Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to ...

... decadal forecasts for predicting subsurface ... Predictions of climate several years ahead using an improved decadal prediction system.

The effect of initialisation on 20 year multi-decadal climate predictions

The study has evaluated an initialised decadal prediction system with a lead time for up to twenty years. It is demonstrated that skill for ...

Seasonal-to-decadal prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and ...

The growing demand for skillful near-term climate prediction encourages an improved prediction of low-frequency sea surface temperature ...

Drift Correction and Sub‐Ensemble Predictive Skill Evaluation of the ...

The decadal climate prediction (DCP) has been shown to be particularly useful in developing mitigation and adaptation strategies to the short- ...

Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system

Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations. View Publications. search. Download (2.83 MB).

CAFE: CSIRO's Decadal Prediction System

The Climate Analysis Forecast Ensemble system (CAFE) developed at CSIRO was founded on using a large ensemble (96 members) Kalman filter.

Wetter und Klima - Deutscher Wetterdienst - Decadal prediction

Decadal climate predictions describe trends in climate development for the next few years up to a decade. They close the gap between short-term weather ...

Documentation - Decadal Climate Predictions

Decadal prediction is then, in simple terms, the extension of seasonal forecasts wherein climate models are initialized by introducing observation-based data.

Decadal prediction of Northeast Asian winter precipitation with ...

Decadal hindcasts from 13 forecast systems participating in the CMIP6 DCPP were compared with their historical simulations to predict winter ...

Projects - Regional Projections of Climate At Decadal Time Scales

... decadal projections in both historical prediction mode and for predictions of the coming decades. High resolution refers to integrations using 1/4 degree ...

Decadal Climate Variability, Predictability and the Atlantic ...

develop advanced coupled assimilation systems to initialize coupled climate models for decadal predictions ... develop protoype decadal prediction system. In ...

Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches - CentAUR

Decadal climate prediction involves not only the skill of the predictions themselves but also the science questions that can be addressed that should lead to a ...

Seasonal-Decadal Analysis & Prediction - NASA GMAO

Seasonal-Decadal Analysis & Prediction ... The NASA GMAO seasonal forecasts are currently produced with the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Atmosphere-Ocean ...

LIST OF POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS OF DECADAL PREDICTION

decadal prediction rely on this overlap. Overlap with interannual variability. Changes in the nature and impact of ENSO are part of decadal variability. ENSO.

Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) - ESMO

DCPP investigates the ability to skilfully predict climate variations from a year to a decade ahead by means of a series of retrospective forecasts.

What can a decadal prediction system predict? - FONA MiKlip

The aim of a decadal prediction system is to use the memory of those components of the climate system that act on a time-scale from years up to a decade and ...

insights from the Decadal Climate Prediction Proj. - YouTube

Speaker: Dario Nicolì – CMCC Moderator: Panos Athanasiadis – CMCC In recent decades, the Mediterranean region has witnessed a notable surge ...

(PDF) Decadal Prediction: Can It Be Skillful? - ResearchGate

Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? ... A new field of study, “decadal prediction,” is emerging in climate science. Decadal prediction lies between seasonal/ ...

Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? - CentAUR

Some decadal prediction skill has been demonstrated to arise from the first two of these factors, and there is evidence that initialized coupled ...