Events2Join

Global uncertainty is on the wane


Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local ...

A one-standard-deviation uncertainty shock leads to a persistent and substantial decline in the level of real GDP (−1%). The shock sharply decreases stock ...

The impact of global uncertainty on the global economy, and large ...

Global uncertainty shocks are associated with a sharp decline in global inflation, global growth and in the global interest rate. Over 1981 to 2014 global ...

Implications of Heightened Global Uncertainty for the East Asia and ...

Despite the decline since mid-2022, inflation uncertainty is still high in the United States, reflecting disagreements on the speed and degree ...

Despite ongoing global uncertainty and high-profile layoffs, labor ...

In nearly all parts of the globe, economies are slowing, high inflation is proving persistent, the uncertainty about the outlook is high, and ...

Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Global Perspectives

Following the success of the first three conferences (2014, 2016, 2018), American University, International Monetary Fund and Federal Reserve Board will jointly ...

Does Trade Policy Uncertainty Affect Global Economic Activity?

Higher uncertainty could lead firms to delay their investment and reduce their hiring, lower consumer confidence and spending, and ultimately ...

The Fed - Global Real Economic Uncertainty and COVID-19

In this note, we explore the large increase in global real economic uncertainty observed during the pandemic as a channel that explains or ...

Impact of global uncertainty on the global economy and large

Global uncertainty shocks are associated with a sharp decline in global inflation, growth and interest rate. Global uncertainty shocks have more protracted, ...

Global spillover effects of US uncertainty - ScienceDirect.com

An unanticipated increase in US uncertainty depreciates the local currency of EMEs, leads to a decline in local stock markets, increases long-term interest ...

Full article: Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?

In most of the cases, global uncertainty is often accompanied by unstable oil prices and exchange rates depreciation. For most of the emerging ...

Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for the euro area

The biggest decline is observed on impact, when the dent to industrial production amounts to around 0.15 percentage points. Results suggest that economic ...

The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty - LONDONO

Using a sample of 39 countries representing 88% of global GDP, we find that real economic uncertainty (REU) has negative long-lasting ...

Can global uncertainty promote international trade?

Can global uncertainty promote international trade? ... uncertainty promotes trade amounts to asking why uncertainty brings the world economy ... The decline in ...

Global Uncertainties - What Lies Ahead in the Middle East - CIRSD

” Indeed, our world is in a state of uncertainty ... Global Uncertainties - What Lies Ahead in the Middle East ... Such delusions also led Israel to misconstrue ...

Global uncertainty and the dollar

However, in the counterfactual the decline in cross-border bank credit to non-US borrowers is also less pronounced. And a smaller drop in cross-border bank ...

The World in Focus: Uncertainty and the Global Outlook for 2024

... World in Focus: Uncertainty and the Global Outlook for 2024 ... Uncertainty and the Global ... As the IMF predicts a global growth decline ...

Global uncertainty - IESE Insight

Taking decisive action is one of the keys to surviving today's geopolitical turbulence. And it's not just technological innovation and shifting consumer demand ...

The Economic Effects of Global Inflation Uncertainty

heightened inflation uncertainty causes a decline in output according to the national account identity and in investment due to a decreased marginal revenue ...

2019: a year of uncertainty - CaixaBank Research

Following two years of high growth in which the global economy grew by 3.8% (2017) and 3.6% (2018), the data suggest a significant reduction in ...

Human development falling behind in ninety per cent of countries

1) First back-to-back decline in three decades · 2) COVID-19 is 'a window into a new reality' · 3) We're living through a new 'uncertainty complex ...