Here's what top election forecasters Nate Silver and Allan Lichtman ...

'Nostradamus' of polling bashes rival after both election predictions ...

Across the board, pollsters failed to predict Trump would win by a comfortable margin.

Colloquy Podcast: How Reliable Are Election Forecasts?

News organizations—and voters—rely more heavily than ever on probabilistic election forecasts from “data journalists” like Nate Silver.

U.S Election LIVE| Nate Silver or Allan Lichtman - YouTube

In the lead-up to the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, two prominent figures stand out for their forecasting abilities: Nate Silver and ...

Presidential predictor Allan Lichtman makes 2024 election pick

In a NYT Opinion video released Thursday morning, Lichtman says he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win the race for the White House this November.

Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to ...

Allan Lichtman, the American University historian who's been dubbed the Nostradamus of presidential election predictions for his near-perfect 40-year track ...

When Election Modelers Attack - New York Magazine

(Lichtman did suggest at the time that Trump would win the popular vote, which he did not; he has since clarified that his forecast only ...

2024 presidential election predictions: Experts weigh in | FOX 5 New ...

Polls have shown the Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, and her Republican contender, former President Donald Trump, locked in a ...

Nate Silver: The 'Keys to the White House' is junk science ... - YouTube

"The '13 Keys' are a system by Allan Lichtman at American University in DC which I think are an example of the replication crisis and junk ...

Nate Silver: Allan Lichtman's 'Keys to the White House' is junk ...

67 votes, 310 comments. 38K subscribers in the fivethirtyeight community. FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign ...

Who will win the 2024 election? Presidential predictor Allan ...

Allan Lichtman, an American University professor who has accurately predicted the winner of nearly every U.S. presidential election since ...

Prominent data scientist gives election odds: Trump leads, but Harris ...

Thomas Miller, a data scientist and professor at Northwestern University, says the 2024 presidential race has whipsawed over the past ...

Pollster Nate Silver IS WRONG: Nostradamus Of Prez Elections ...

Historian at American University Allan Lichtman joins Rising to elaborate on latest presidential forecast.

Kamala Harris will win, says man with near-perfect record of ... - CBC

Allan Lichtman, a US presidential historian at American University in Washington, DC, says Democratic Vice-President Kamala Harris will defeat her Republican ...

Nate Silver or Prof. Lichtman? It's High Season for Prediction Models

An U.S. presidential election is to politics what the world cup or the world series is to sports, that is, the biggest, most expensive, and ...

A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast

The margin of error on 40,000 simulations is about ± 0.5 points of win probability for either candidate; after 80,000, it declines, but only to ...

Allan Lichtman: “I Am Going to Take Some Time Off to Assess Why I ...

Election night 2024 was rough for a lot of people. One of them was Allan Lichtman. The American University professor confidently predicted ...

Professor Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver on the U.S. 2024 Election

In political forecasting, two figures stand out as giants in predicting U.S. presidential election outcomes: Professor Allan Lichtman and ...

Which of these election forecasters are going to eat their words?

Moody's Analytics, which has correctly predicted the winner of each U.S. presidential race since 1980, forecasts a decisive victory for Clinton.

Allan Lichtman's prediction turns out to be wrong : r/Professors - Reddit

61 votes, 142 comments. I am not a political science professor (psych/neuro here), so I am curious about why Allan Lichtman's prediction was ...

Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Whose US Presidential Election ...

Professor Lichtman of American University, who has accurately predicted nine of the previous presidential elections, has predicted this vice ...