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Tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty to world growth


The Five Main Drivers of Global Economic Uncertainty

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is just one of several economic and geopolitical trends darkening the outlook for global growth.

World Economic Situation and Prospects: June 2024 Briefing, No. 181

The possible intensification and spreading of conflicts in Gaza and the Red Sea add further uncertainties to the near-term outlook for the ...

Global economy faces new risks from Middle East crisis

A vulnerable global economy, already set to slow this year and next, is facing new challenges from an escalating war between Israel and Hamas.

The global economy is being hit by higher uncertainty

... uncertainties “add downside risk to global investment and growth. ... conflict in the Middle East, and tensions in east Asia”. On the ...

Climate Change and Vulnerability in the Middle East

Climate change in the Middle East will amplify preexisting vulnerabilities stemming from conflict, displacement, marginalization, and corruption, while also ...

Conflict and Debt in the Middle East and North Africa - YouTube

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is expected to grow by 2.7% in 2024, which is a modest increase from 1.9% in 2023 and a ...

The Middle East at a Time of “Negative Certainty”

Elements of de-regionalization, deepening inter-state rivalries, conflicts, poor governance, protests that have been characteristic for the Middle East scene ...

Middle East Conflict Threatens Global Growth - The New York Times

The Middle East is becoming a wild card for the global economy. Rising oil prices could push up inflation, hindering central banks' efforts to bring down ...

How Oil Markets Are Responding to Uncertainty in the Middle East

Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, the world's seventh-largest producer of crude oil, have fueled concern over oil price volatility for the past few ...

What do China's economic woes mean for the Middle East?

A prolonged slowdown or a sudden financial crash, were it to occur, would ripple across global markets — including the countries of the Middle ...

The global economy hit by higher uncertainty | CEPR

... uncertainties “add downside risk to global investment and growth. ... conflict in the Middle East, and tensions in east Asia”. On the ...

State - Office of the Director of National Intelligence - Global Trends

Migration is likely to increase the salience of identity issues that divide societies in receiving countries and may fuel ethnic conflicts. Rapid urbanization— ...

Brent crude oil price and global oil inventory change - EIA

First, although the volatility and risk premium associated with the conflict in the Middle East has moderated in recent weeks, the duration and severity of the ...

IMF Lowers Mideast Growth, Citing Conflict and Oil Supply Cuts

The International Monetary Fund lowered its economic-growth projections for the Middle East and North Africa, citing conflicts, geopolitical uncertainty and ...

Elections add uncertainty to upbeat global economic forecast

“Political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions remain a key area of uncertainty and a risk to our baseline forecast, and that will undoubtedly ...

Is the Middle East on the Verge of a Wider War?

In addition to the conflict dynamics between Israel and Lebanon, the Red Sea, Iraq and Syria have all become arenas of spillover confrontation ...

Beyond borders: Assessing the influence of Geopolitical tensions on ...

Lastly, we assess how geopolitical risk and uncertainty in different country' groups as South America, Asia, the Middle East, and three major global economies ...

GlobalTrends_2040.pdf - DNI.gov

Middle East, and elsewhere. Russia probably will look for economic ... International Dynamics: Growing More Contested, Uncertain, and Conflict Prone.

Red Sea crisis could shatter hopes of global economic recovery

A prolonged conflict in the Red Sea and escalating tensions across the Middle East risk having devastating effects on the global economy ...

The five main drivers of global economic uncertainty - Jordan Times

... global landscape before the tragic events unfolding in the Middle East. But the horrible conflict between Hamas and Israel, which has ...