2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

DESPITE POLLS being in essence tied, gamblers betting on the outcome of America's presidential election are increasingly confident that ...

Check out The Washington Post's presidential polling averages of the seven battleground states most likely to determine the outcome of the ...

Polls missed the 2016 election outcome and did even worse in 2020 on the margin, underestimating Donald Trump again. Should we believe the ...

Many polls in 2016 and 2020 underestimated support for former President Trump.

38K subscribers in the fivethirtyeight community. FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day ...

President-elect Donald Trump has long presented pollsters with a challenge. Here's what polling underestimated and what it accurately ...

First, some good news for the polls: Assuming current results hold, the only states where presidential polling averages got the winners wrong ...

Supporters cheer as President-elect Donald Trump arrives to speak at his last campaign rally at Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Mich., on Nov.

Trump is making more campaign stops than Harris. Cumulative Democratic advantage in campaign stops by days to the election. 2024. 2020.

Just weeks before Election Day, the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is deadlocked, with polls ...

Democrats worry about a surge from former President Trump in the polls, despite Vice President Harris's rise, pointing to the past two ...

President-elect Donald Trump has long presented pollsters with a challenge. Here's what polling underestimated and what it accurately ...

In Nevada's Senate race, the 538 average had Rosen up 5.7 over Republican Sam Brown, and the RCP average had her up 4.9. The latest results show ...

One month since she entered the presidential race, Kamala Harris has a small but clear lead over Donald Trump, if the polls are to be trusted.

I was sure Kamala Harris was going to win. I was convinced she would have a mandate. But now, a week after Election Day, I can admit I was ...

Vice President Kamala Harris was polling at +1.2 points in Michigan and +1 points both in Wisconsin and nationally.

I recommend the piece, “2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump,” by G. Elliott Morris, abcnews.go.com, 11/9/2024. “A modest ...

New York Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn warned Sunday that pollsters may not have solved the underlying issues they encountered in ...

Donald Trump is likely to be the first Republican presidential candidate to win the popular vote in the last 20 years. Pre-election polls ...

Many of those who follow politics—and not enough citizens do—have become slaves of polling, overly obsessed with these surveys and palpitating ...