Climate Model Evaluation and Uncertainty

Chapter 6 Climate Change Uncertainties - Bookdown

Model uncertainty is the imperfect knowledge about the climate system, quantified with the help of a large number of climate models that simulate the future ...

Observational uncertainty and regional climate model evaluation

These results provide a twofold picture: model uncertainty dominates for most regions and for most performance metrics considered, and observational uncertainty ...

Climate Model Evaluation - US CLIVAR

Analysis of Climate Model Simulations for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (CMEP 2011) - To promote diagnostic analysis of studies of late 19th - 20th century ...

Climate Model Evaluation | NATIONS UNIES

Climate Model Evaluation ... Human influence on the climate system has been identified as the primary cause of global warming. The reports of the ...

Uncertainty in climate projections - Primavera

and European climate Risk Assessment ... The categories covered in this fact sheet are natural variability, scenario uncertainty, climate model uncertainty; in ...

Assessing the influence of climate model uncertainty on EU-wide ...

In many impact studies, the assessment of uncertainties is underemphasised, or is not performed quantitatively. A key source of uncertainty is the variability ...

Observational uncertainty and regional climate model evaluation

The spatial scale of the evaluation is 0.22°, that is, the grid spacing of the coarsest data set in the exercise (E‐OBS). While the three ...

Assessment of Climate Models Performance and Associated ... - MDPI

Climate model performance varies between the regions and thus evaluation, inter-comparison, selection of the best climate model (representing ...

Uncertainty in regional climate modelling: A review - Find People

Due to improvements in the simulation of the large-scale heat balances, many of the most recent generation of models employed in the IPCC Fourth Assessment ...

Uncertainty in Regional Climate Modelling: A Review - ResearchGate

Such uncertainties include parameterizations and resolutions, initial and boundary conditions inherited from the driving global model, intermodel variability ...

Uncertainty in hydrological analysis of climate change

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) launched the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) in the fifth Assessment ...

Making Climate Models & Data Actionable

Connecting methods for characterizing uncertainty or model support to implementation of climate-response policies to assess the risks posed by climate change to ...

Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited

... evaluating of climate models, on whose results the assignments of probability depend. ... model-mediated influence on uncertainty estimates in climate prediction.

Modeling Scientific Uncertainty in the Economic Evaluation of ...

Modeling Scientific Uncertainty in the Economic Evaluation of Climate Policy · uncertainty about temperature change · uncertainty about damages ...

Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison

The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy.

Validation and Quantification of Uncertainty in Coupled Climate ...

We will therefore quantify uncertainties in climate models, clustering models or integrations with qualitatively different topological characteristics as ...

Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations | Nature Climate Change

In the AR4 assessment, 'likely' ranges for future changes in global mean temperature also result from the consideration of multiple sources of uncertainty. This ...

Clouds in climate models: Identifying sources of uncertainty

New research compares model simulations to satellite data to show that while a frequently used model captures some aspects of real cloud ...

Uncertainty in regional climate modelling: A review - Semantic Scholar

For geographers engaged in activities such as environmental planning and natural resource management, regional climate models are becoming ...

Analysis: How well have climate models projected global warming?

Despite a best estimate of climate sensitivity a tad lower than the 3C used today, the FAR overestimated the rate of warming between 1970 and ...