- Roles of external forcing and internal variability to precipitation ...🔍
- Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of ...🔍
- New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model ...🔍
- Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change🔍
- Insufficient forcing uncertainty underestimates the risk of high ...🔍
- Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts🔍
- 7 Recommendations🔍
- Insights from Earth system model initial|condition large ensembles ...🔍
Significant impact of forcing uncertainty in a large ensemble ...
Roles of external forcing and internal variability to precipitation ...
... large ensemble simulations from 6 single model, each including more than 20 members. For California, uncertainty from internal variability accounts for >80 ...
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of ...
change are required for impact assessments6. ... & Plattner, G. K. Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ...
New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model ...
New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community ...
Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change
radiative forcing (for its effect ... However, uncertainty about productivity growth has a major impact on the uncertainty of all the major output variables.
Insufficient forcing uncertainty underestimates the risk of high ...
[9] In ACC2, the carbon cycle, atmospheric chemistry, and the climate system are linked via feedbacks and there- fore jointly affect the estimation of various ...
Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts - Frontiers
For processes where threshold val- ues are important (e.g., heat stress), ignoring microclimate may lead to large systematic errors, since in ...
7 Recommendations | Radiative Forcing of Climate Change ...
... effects, which arguably represent the largest uncertainty in current radiative forcing assessments. ... major impact on aerosol optical properties.
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles ...
Since the inception of the Coupled Model. Intercomparison Project (CMIP), substantial progress has been made on quantifying sources of uncertainty in climate ...
A multi-model ensemble (MME) therefore is a large number of climate model simulations. ... impact of spatial uncertainty on model applications. While, individual ...
Large ensemble simulations with a global climate system model ...
... impact the Walker Circulation and Global Monsoon throughout the next three decades. IVs are also important sources of uncertainties in ...
Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected ...
Perturbed parameter ensembles of models sample the spread in model output caused by the uncertainty ... large as multi-model spread [33], but has so far ...
Attribution of observed changes in extreme temperatures to ...
Significant impact of forcing uncertainty in a large ensemble of climate model simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of. Sciences, 118(23) ...
uncertainty remains large. Model studies including more aerosol species ... analysis of the climate forcing and effects of the great Indo-Asian haze. J ...
Effects of Ensemble Configuration on Estimates of Regional Climate ...
The latter also produce estimates of uncertainty due to model differences. We conclude that projection uncertainties are best assessed using small single‐model ...
The impact of meteorological forcing uncertainty on hydrological ...
Meteorological forcing is a major uncertainty source in hydrological modeling. The recent development of large-scale probabilistic datasets ...
An important part of these studies is assessing whether and which changes can be predicted. As a consequence there is a strong focus on ...
NTRS - NASA Technical Reports Server
The results of the article demonstrate that improving the background model error through the use of a forcing ensemble enables the assimilation ...
Role of forcing uncertainty and background model error ...
large snow accumulation, the impact of using the forcing en- ... 4 Impact of forcing ensemble in the assimilation of. AMSR2 snow depth retrievals.
Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic–Pacific interactions
... Significant impact of forcing uncertainty in a large ensemble of climate model simulations, P. Natl. Acad. Sci., 118, e2016549118, https://doi.org/10.1073 ...
Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
Here we use large idealised initial condition ensembles of the FAMOUS global climate model with a 1 %/year compound increase in levels to ...
The Adventures of Tom Sawyer
Novel by Mark TwainThe Adventures of Tom Sawyer is a picaresque novel by Mark Twain published on 9 June 1876 about a boy, Tom Sawyer, growing up along the Mississippi River. It is set in the 1840s in the town of St. Petersburg, which is based on Hannibal, Missouri, where Twain lived as a boy. In the novel, Sawyer has several adventures, often with his friend Huckleberry Finn.