Nate Cohn Explains How Bad the Latest Polling Is for Joe Biden

The Electoral College question looming over 2024 - NBC News

Part of the explanation was Trump's particularly strong performance among white working-class voters in the Midwest and Rust Belt battleground ...

Opinion | The puzzle of Joe Biden's unpopularity

The president isn't doing that bad. But voters are unimpressed.

The media can't help but pay attention to startling new Biden-Trump ...

They said they wouldn't get caught up in the horse race coverage this year. But some new polls have the media buzzing. President Joe Biden ...

Kamala Harris polled better than Biden in Pa., but she still trails Trump

A lot remains still remains to be seen from the Harris campaign, but the vice president did poll better than Biden in Pa. even before she ...

Top elections forecaster says 'expect anything' on midterm night as ...

In Pennsylvania, the US Senate race has come down to just a few points after Lt Gov John Fetterman ran a strong lead in polls throughout most of ...

Election 2024: Which Party Will Control Congress?

All those seats are in states that Donald Trump won in 2020. The bad news for Democrats is the Senator Joe Manchin, who became an Independent ...

Playbook: Sobering new polls for Harris - POLITICO

Nate Cohn and his colleagues have published the first high ... harmful new routing mandates on credit cards that would put consumer ...

Harris ups lead over Trump, although presidential race still on knife ...

Nate Cohn, the New York Times's chief polling analyst ... “Over the last month, a lot of these polls show Ms Harris doing relatively poorly ...

How Trump lost his Electoral College edge to Biden | The Week

On average, Clinton lost these 12 states by a point, and did more than 3 points worse in the battlegrounds than she did nationally. This map ...

Which is the better 2024 predictor: polls or special elections?

Democrats have had successes in special elections and Republicans are leading in many polls. But the two metrics aren't as far apart as they ...

Polls show Biden ahead of Trump in battleground state Michigan

The recent trend line, though, is so broadly bad for Trump that even accounting for what many observers saw as glaring errors in polling in 2016 ...

Harris or Trump? What the polls are saying a day before the 2024 ...

The final batch of major national polls and swing state surveys shows ... We're past the bad place. BuzzFeed · We Asked Young Men Why They Voted ...

Our live election night forecast is known as “the Needle.” Nate Cohn

964 Likes, TikTok video from The New York Times (@nytimes): “Our live election night forecast is known as “the Needle.” Nate Cohn, chief ...

My comments on Nate Silver's comments on the Fivethirtyeight ...

And I think one should be wary of strong priors in data-poor environments (only one election every four years) like election forecasting.” From ...

NATE COHN | The Seattle Times

The race is still close enough that President Biden would have a very serious chance to win if the election were held tomorrow. Three states... Nation ...

Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

However, this morning's polls from The New York Times show Trump ahead by a strong +13 points in the Sunshine State, at 55 percent to Harris's 41 percent.

Can you trust the US election polls? - The Sydney Morning Herald

Meanwhile, Republicans are inclined to dismiss bad poll numbers for Trump as "fake news". ... Nate Cohn believes there have been some improvements ...

The complex considerations undergirding 2020 polling

“And if it improves by a modest amount — not unusual for incumbents with a strong economy — he could have a distinct chance to win re-election ...

Lindsay Beyerstein - X

New Interview: I talked to Nate Cohn about Biden's dismal polling ... polling about as bad as anyone could ever poll against Donald Trump.

Live analysis: CNN's latest poll on 2020 Democrats | CNN Politics

Joe Biden's lead has expanded from our last poll, with him polling ... I wrote at the time “why Kamala Harris needs another strong debate.