- Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations🔍
- The changing impact of fossil fuel shocks on the UK economy🔍
- EXCESSIVE SPECULATION AND OIL PRICE SHOCK ...🔍
- What if oil prices reach $150/barrel? Consequences for growth and ...🔍
- Energy Price Shocks🔍
- Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions🔍
- The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions🔍
- June Fed Preview🔍
Oil Price Shocks and Forecasting Recessions
Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations - American Economic Association
predicting oil prices; and 4) oil price shocks as measured by economists employing ... “Historical Causes of. Postwar Oil Shocks and Recessions.” Energy ...
The changing impact of fossil fuel shocks on the UK economy - OBR
Crude oil prices increased four-fold in 1974, then fell back somewhat before almost tripling again in 1979, triggering the early 1980s recession. Over the ...
EXCESSIVE SPECULATION AND OIL PRICE SHOCK ...
EXHIBIT ES-2:OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND ECONOMIC RECESSIONS. 2011. Source: Jeff Rubin, “Oil Prices Caused the Current Recession,” The Oil Drum, November 5, 2008 ...
What if oil prices reach $150/barrel? Consequences for growth and ...
A major and prolonged spike in oil prices risks exacerbating what are already multidecade high inflation rates and extending this period of elevated price gains ...
Energy Price Shocks | SpringerLink
For example, traditional models of oil price shocks implied that the US economy should have gone into recession in 2005–06, following the surge in the price of ...
Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions - Ray C. Fair
The change in asset prices cannot, and even some government variables are not easy to forecast. Nor necessarily are exports and the import price deflator. In.
The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions | CoLab
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, volume 49, issue 8, pages 1747-1776. The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions. Lutz Kilian.
June Fed Preview: 75bps Incoming - Amplifying Recession Risk ...
Oil price shocks (and commodity price shocks more generally) have been at least a coincidental ingredient to a number of recessions, and there ...
Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of ...
It has been suggested that the predictive relationship between the price of oil and one-quarter-ahead U.S. real GDP is nonlinear in that (a) oil ...
Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations: a regime ...
... oil price collapse at the onset of the 'Great Recession' in 2008 to global economic activity and oil demand shocks. While our model also ...
What triggered the oil price plunge of 2014-2016 and why it failed to ...
In the event, the benefits of substantially lower oil prices were muted by the low responsiveness of economic activity in key oil-importing ...
Oil, budgets, migration, and retirees: Alaska's 2015–18 recession
Alaska's oil price fell 81 percent from April 2011 to February 2016. This shock reverberated throughout the economy, affecting private industry and government.
Recession will be necessary to rebalance the oil market - Reuters
Unused capacity in global oil production has fallen to exceptionally low levels, contributing to the intense upward pressure on prices until ...
Risk of recession as oil prices rise? | SEI Asset Management UK
As Exhibits 1 and 2 show, while rising oil prices do not necessarily foreshadow recessions in the U.S. or Europe, oil price surges that happen over a relatively ...
Historical Causes of Postwar Oil Shocks and Recessions
Three major oil shocks (1973-1974, 1979, and 1980-1981) have each been followed by major recessions. While the magnitude and violence of recent oil price ...
... price-level shocks but with more persistent effects on the inflation ... non-OPEC oil supply forecasts and quarterly non-OECD oil demand forecasts ...
The most recent rise in the price of oil has not led (at least not yet) to an economic recession, but history nonetheless suggests that oil prices are an ...
Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industrial ...
Moreover, oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty co-affect economic growth by influencing the expected risks to the environment and ...
Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role ... - CiteSeerX
asymmetric transmission of oil price shocks such as Hamilton (1988) do not imply that oil price ... How Much Do Oil Prices Help Forecast the 2008 Recession? A ...
Macroeconomic effects of crude oil shocks: Evidence from South ...
The sudden hike in prices in 1970 and subsequent economic recessions due to low oil supply gained considerable attention. Oil is the main source ...