How a college degree is one of the best voter predictors

Learning about the Predictive Power of Young Voter Party Affiliation ...

Interestingly, male and female perceptions of presidential leadership practices varied and were contextualized by factors related to identity ...

Can AI predict how you'll vote in the next election? - BYU News

AI Voting Prediction Researchers envision a future where artificial intelligence is used to craft better survey questions, refining them to ...

Voters as forecasters: a micromodel of election prediction

We show, by analysis of the American National Election Surveys 1956–1996, that voters themselves can forecast who will win the presidential election.

How We Analyzed Literacy and Voter Turnout - ProPublica

For decades, researchers have studied the factors that influence voter participation, including the impact of educational attainment on ...

Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So ...

How can cam- paign events affect people's opinions on whom they plan to vote for, and yet not affect the outcome of the election? For that matter, why do voters ...

Does canvassing increase voter turnout? A field experiment - PMC

This paper reports the results of a randomized field experiment involving registered voters in the city of New Haven. Nonpartisan get-out-the-vote messages ...

Why are political polls such a bad predictor of election results? - Quora

It is much harder for the polls to predict the electoral vote. It would have taken only 54,000 voters (6,000 in Michigan, 34,200 in Pennsylvania ...

Harris vs. Trump: Polling Analyst Says 'Electoral College Blowout ...

Polling analyst Harry Enten said the winning candidate has a 60 percent chance of securing at least 300 electoral votes.

How Voters Decide: Crash Course Government and Politics #38

Political scientists have identified three main factors that influence how a person will vote. These are party loyalty, the issues involved in an election, and ...

US Election results 2016: What went wrong with prediction models?

In short, polling is not always easy. This election may have been the hardest. Any time we are trying to do statistical inference, ...

Laura Clark: I'm an educated woman who voted for Trump

Well, the election is over. Donald Trump is our next president! It was a sweep. Trump won the electoral college and the popular vote.

What are the current swing states, and how have they changed over ...

Seven states were won by less than three percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. This includes Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, ...

Presidential Election Betting Odds, Predictions: Trump Wins

Current Betting Odds on Presidential Election Updated Wednesday, Nov. 6 at 4 p.m. ET The Associated Press has called the race, and Donald ...

College football coaches poll projection: Top five changes with upsets

With two teams in the top five of the US LBM Coaches Poll losing, there is sure to be change after Week 11. Our prediction for the new top ...

Voting rights and models of voting behavior: lesson overview (article)

Political scientists have defined several models of voter behavior in an attempt to explain the different motivations of voters.

Demographic Vote Prediction Tool - The COVID States Project

This tool allows you to compare how a given demographic reported they were going to vote in 2020, versus in 2024. You can check off various ...

Math the vote pt II: Polls and predictions - 2Scientists

While at Northwestern University, Dr. Alexandria Volkening and her colleagues developed compartmental mathematical models to predict the ...

How to Understand (and Survive) All the Election Predictions You See

As the 2018 midterms draw nearer and nearer, I am becoming glued to political analyses and polling. With growing distance between political ...

Kamala v. Trump: Who wins the Presidential Election? - Kalshi

If Donald Trump or another representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2025, then the market resolves ...

How the Trump Whale and Prediction Markets Beat the Pollsters in ...

The success of Polymarket and other betting platforms in calling the election will bring an end to the era of political forecasting as we ...