Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Nearly every forecast predicted that Hillary Clinton would receive more votes than. Donald Trump. Indeed, she received almost three million more ...

Assessing the 2016 US Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Moreover, in the last 100 days of the previous seven presidential elections, vote expectations provided more accurate forecasts than vote intention polls, ...

PDF | The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are derived by ...

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts.

Abstract. The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are derived by averaging ...

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Downloadable! The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are ...

(Open Access) Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election ...

The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are derived by averaging existing ...

2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

By Andreas Graefe, J. Armstrong, Randall J. Jones and Alfred G. Cuzan; Abstract: The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for ...

Comparing voting methods: 2016 US presidential election

This paper presents data from a survey leading up to the 2016 US presidential elections. Participants were asked their opinions about the candidates.

Was Anyone Right? - The Blue Review - Boise State University

Polling aggregators had their start in the 2008 presidential elections, with Nate Silver becoming the industry leader with his FiveThirtyEight ...

2016 US Presidential Election - statistics & Facts - Statista

Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States. Preliminary results show Trump winning 290 votes to Clinton's 232.

The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election

The PollyVote is an evidence-based formula designed to forecast election outcomes, using both well-established methods and innovations.

An examination of the 2016 electorate, based on validated voters

Among these verified voters, the overall vote preference mirrors the election results very closely: 48% reported voting for Hillary Clinton and ...

Pollsters struggle to explain failures of US presidential forecasts

Republican candidate Donald Trump won in an electoral landslide, but for months most polls forecast a victory for his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton.

Voter Turnout in Presidential Elections | The American Presidency ...

Year. Turnout, Voting Age Population (VAP), Voting Eligible Population (VEP), Registered Voters, Turnout as % VAP, Turnout as % VEP.

Nate Silver says conventional wisdom, not data, killed 2016 election ...

On Election Day, nearly every public polling firm predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidency. The only real debate was by how large ...

Assessing the Reliability of Probabilistic US Presidential Election ...

We demonstrate that scientists and voters are decades to millennia away from assessing whether probabilistic forecasting provides reliable ...

2016 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. The Republican ticket of ...

A Recap of the 2016 Election Forecasts | PS: Political Science ...

... states that decided the outcome. IT'S THE POPULAR VOTE, STUPID: ELECTORAL COLLEGE MISFIRES AND THE PERILS OF FORECASTING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS.

Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations - Pew Research Center

Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate's ...