Assessing the 2016 US Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Nearly every forecast predicted that Hillary Clinton would receive more votes than. Donald Trump. Indeed, she received almost three million more ...

Moreover, in the last 100 days of the previous seven presidential elections, vote expectations provided more accurate forecasts than vote intention polls, ...

2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

PDF | The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are derived by ...

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

Downloadable! The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are ...

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts.

Abstract. The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for forecasting the popular vote in presidential elections. The forecasts are derived by averaging ...

How surprising was Trump's victory? Evaluations of the 2016 U.S. ...

The US presidential election results of 2016 surprised many poll-watchers, suggesting possible biases in estimated support for the major party candidates.

Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts

By Andreas Graefe, J. Armstrong, Randall J. Jones and Alfred G. Cuzan; Abstract: The PollyVote uses evidence-based techniques for ...

Things We Learned from the Election

We can all agree that the presidential election result was a shocker. According to news reports, even the. Trump campaign team was stunned to come up a ...

6 - Assessing a Single Poll during the 2016 US Presidential Election

The election pitted Hillary Clinton, a well-known establishment Democrat, against Donald Trump, an outsider who had just overturned the ...

Prediction Markets + Polls + Economic Indicators: Better Election ...

One reason forecasting U.S. elections is so challenging is that the presidency isn't determined by popular vote but by state-based electoral ...

2016 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. The Republican ticket of ...

Voter Trends in 2016 - Center for American Progress

Introduction and summary. The unprecedented and largely unanticipated election of Republican candidate Donald Trump as president of the United ...

Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations - Pew Research Center

Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate's ...

Voter Turnout in Presidential Elections | The American Presidency ...

Year. Turnout, Voting Age Population (VAP), Voting Eligible Population (VEP), Registered Voters, Turnout as % VAP, Turnout as % VEP.

Was Anyone Right? - The Blue Review - Boise State University

Polling aggregators had their start in the 2008 presidential elections, with Nate Silver becoming the industry leader with his FiveThirtyEight ...

An examination of the 2016 electorate, based on validated voters

Among these verified voters, the overall vote preference mirrors the election results very closely: 48% reported voting for Hillary Clinton and ...

Nate Silver says conventional wisdom, not data, killed 2016 election ...

On Election Day, nearly every public polling firm predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidency. The only real debate was by how large ...

First thoughts on polling problems in the 2016 U.S. elections | YouGov

Our results were consistent—each showed an approximate four point lead for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. In the final Economist survey, ...

Virtual Issue: Polling and Forecasting US Presidential Elections

Introduction to the virtual issue by Allyson Holbrook and Eric Plutzer. Articles in this virtual issue are freely available through December 31, 2020.