Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies*

of development accounting exercises (Section 6). Section 7 concludes. 2. Surveying business managers in developing and emerging economies.

Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies

Abstract. We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 countries. We ...

Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies

In the model, high volatility generates investment and growth opportunities in poor countries. But high uncertainty and low overprecision slow reallocation and ...

Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies

That means managers in poor countries foresee more variation across future sales scenarios, and they make larger absolute forecast errors than rich-country ...

Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies

In the model, high volatility generates investment and growth opportunities in poor countries. But high uncertainty and low overprecision slow ...

business uncertainty in developing & emerging economies

Notes: The left figure plots employment-weighted subjective uncertainty in each country averaging across waves of the World Bank Business Pulse.

Measuring business uncertainty in developing and emerging ...

Uncertainty about business prospects is a fact of life for any business. When deciding whether to recruit new workers or invest in a new ...

Business expectations and uncertainty in developing and emerging ...

uncertainty depending on a country's level of development? 2. Page 3. Motivation. Business dynamics are central to developing/emerging economies' lack of ...

How High Economic Uncertainty May Threaten Global Financial ...

One important observation is that uncertainty about the economy may not always be in step with uncertainty reflected in financial markets. As we ...

Business Expectations and Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging ...

Our analysis reveals two new facts about business uncertainty across countries. (1) Uncertainty is higher in our sample than in advanced economies, and it ...

The Hidden Risks in Emerging Markets - Harvard Business Review

Elections and other political events, economic crises, and changing societal attitudes can disrupt the best-laid plans in both emerging and advanced economies.

Measuring business uncertainty in developing and emerging ...

Measuring business uncertainty in developing and emerging economies ... Uncertainty about business prospects is a fact of life for any business. When deciding ...

Startup's Guide: Navigating Business Uncertainty - Embroker

Businesses have to adapt to the changing times and the volatility of the market, especially given the events of the past year. While dealing with business ...

World Economic Outlook - All Issues

... trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty. ... economies returning to their inflation targets sooner than emerging market and developing economies.

Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time ...

Substantial fluctuations in uncertainty might lead to rapid drops and recoveries in real macroeconomic variables that drive the business cycle. More ...

The key business opportunities in the emerging economies

43 participants attended a Discovery Event on trends in emerging economies in the context of the global economy and the opportunities and challenges of ...

Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local ...

The paper investigates the effects of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies (EMEs). I construct novel measures of uncertainty for fifteen small EMEs.

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

We develop a new method to measure economic policy uncertainty and test its dynamic relationship with output, investment, and employment.

Business Insights on Emerging Markets 2024 - OECD

This edition includes an analysis of the latest foreign direct investment flows into emerging and developing markets as well as conclusions from ...

Assessing Macroeconomic Uncertainties for an Emerging Economy

These findings provide a holistic examination of how uncertainty affects macroeconomic activity from an emerging economy perspective. The results also suggest ...