Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ...

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ... - Nature

Models with weaker present-day precipitation variability tend to project larger increases in extreme precipitation occurrences under a given ...

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ... - PubMed

This emergent relationship provides a powerful constraint on future projections of extreme precipitation from observed present-day precipitation variability.

(PDF) Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ...

Models with weaker present-day precipitation variability tend to project larger increases in extreme precipitation occurrences under a given global warming ...

Making extreme precipitation projections more reliable using ...

Projections of future extreme precipitation change can be more reliable by using a constraint from observed present-day precipitation ...

[PDF] Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ...

Projected changes of future precipitation extremes exhibit substantial uncertainties among climate models, posing grand challenges to climate actions and ...

Constraining Projected Changes in Rare Intense Precipitation ...

Very rare extreme precipitation events are particularly damaging to natural and societal systems. Projections of such rare, damaging ...

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ... - DOAJ

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past precipitation variability. Wenxia Zhang,; Kalli Furtado,; Tianjun Zhou,; Peili Wu,; Xiaolong Chen.

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ...

This emergent relationship provides a powerful constraint on future projections of extreme precipitation from observed present-day precipitation variability, ...

Constraining the Pattern and Magnitude of Projected Extreme ...

Constraining projections with observations therefore amplifies the projected intensification of precipitation extremes as well as reducing the relative error of ...

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past ... - OUCI

AbstractProjected changes of future precipitation extremes exhibit substantial uncertainties among climate models, posing grand challenges to climate ...

Emergent constraints on future extreme precipitation intensification

Our constraining analysis provides smaller future extreme precipitation intensification with reduced uncertainties than raw/unconstrained model simulation ...

Constraints on regional projections of mean and extreme ... - PNAS

Here, based on physical arguments, we used the observational past warming trend to constrain future projections of mean and extreme ...

Supplementary Information Constraining extreme precipitation ...

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past precipitation variability. Wenxia Zhang1, Kalli Furtado2, Tianjun Zhou1,3*, Peili Wu2, Xiaolong Chen1.

Constraining the Pattern and Magnitude of Projected Extreme ...

Specifically, we apply low-frequency component analysis (LFCA) to the intensity and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over land in 21 ...

(PDF) Constraining the Pattern and Magnitude of Projected Extreme ...

Constraining projections with observations therefore amplifies the projected intensification of precipitation extremes as well as reducing the ...

Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with ...

plored constraining future precipitation projections using observational data and past warming trends. ... projections of future heavy rainfall ...

Constraints on regional projections of mean and extreme ...

Here, we demonstrate that the observational past warming trend can be utilized to effectively constrain future projections in mean and extreme ...

Emergent Constrained Projections of Mean and Extreme Warming in ...

Approximately half model uncertainty is reduced after constraint. The land area (population) experiencing temperature extremes in our metric is ...

Constraining the Pattern and Magnitude of Projected Extreme ...

Last, we estimate a simple observational constraint by replacing the distribution of temperature–precipitation scaling rates with the estimates ...

Constraining the Increased Frequency of Global Precipitation ...

Our efforts to reduce this intermodel uncertainty rely on simulations and observations of the change in heavy rainfall over the past four ...