Convective|scale and short|range predictability of high|impact ...

Convective-scale and short-range predictability of high-impact ...

Convective-scale and short-range predictability of high-impact weather events. ECMWF Annual Seminar, 9 Sept. 2010, Reading, England. O. Nuissier et al. CNRM ...

Convective-scale and short-range predictability of high-impact ...

Convective-scale and short-range predictability of high-impact weather events. Olivier Nuissier. CNRM-GAME, Météo-France and CNRS. 42 av. G. Coriolis, 31057 ...

Can We Predict the Predictability of High-Impact Weather Events? in

Toward a climatological understanding of ensemble sensitivity analysis, we quantified the predictability of convection-allowing ensemble precipitation forecasts ...

Multiscale Forecasting of High-Impact Weather

Outline of the data flow in a kilometer-scale rapid update prediction system. Very short- range forecasts will be based on the latest observations or on the ...

A NEW JOINT WEATHER RESEARCH AND PREDICTION (WRF ...

... scale radar data assimilation and very short range forecasts. Mon. Wea ... short-term forecasts of high-impact convective events. Mon. Wea. Rev. 148 ...

Understanding the Predictability within Convection-Allowing ... - MDPI

This study investigates the practical predictability of two simulated mesoscale convective systems (MCS1 and MCS2) within a state-of-the-art convection- ...

Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high-precipitation events

Modern regional atmospheric ensemble prediction systems have the appropriate grid resolution and timeliness to simulate high-precipitation ...

Predictability of convective precipitation for West Africa

For the same model simulations, Adler et al. (2011) showed by an analysis of the terms of the heat and moisture budget that for high soil moisture, boundary- ...

Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction with the NASA ...

The global nature of this application enables researchers to extend the predictability of convective-scale NWP beyond two days with a global ...

Assessing the Predictability of Convection Initiation in the High ...

This study investigates the short-range (0-12 h) predictability of convection initiation (CI) using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting ...

Effective Use of High-Resolution Models - MetEd

For our purposes, a high-resolution model is one which can reasonably be run without parameterizing deep convection. This requires a grid spacing of no more ...

Predictability of Weather and Climate - PMC - PubMed Central

The reliability of the weather forecasts issued by present‐day operational models at major operational centers is limited to about 5–7 days (ECMWF, 2018). The ...

Predictability of Weather and Climate - Krishnamurthy - AGU Journals

A recent study (Krishnamurthy & Sharma, 2017) demonstrated the long-range predictability of certain aspects of climate by constructing a ...

Convection-resolving precipitation forecasting and its predictability ...

The simulations exhibit a large variability in the predictability of precipitation amounts, both from case to case and from catchment to catchment. It is ...

Impact of radar data assimilation and orography on predictability of ...

strongly increases the predictability of precipitation throughout the forecast range,. particularly within the immediate area and where no radar ...

How far in advance can we predict changes in large‐scale flow ...

We show that a number of S2S systems have some skill in the prediction of cold spells over Europe, even beyond the medium range. In particular, ...

The convective adjustment time-scale as indicator of predictability of ...

Now, the application of short-range convection- permitting models calls for an examination of both aspects of predictability of the simulated small-scale ...

3.1 A convection-permitting Ensemble Prediction System to study ...

This study considers the design of a short-range, convection-permitting Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) to quantify the uncertainties associated with ...

Impact of tropical teleconnections on the long-range predictability of ...

Both models display a chaotic dynamics, and the dominant variable of the extratropical model displays a high correlation with the tropical ...

DYNAMICS AND PREDICTABILITY OF HIGH-IMPACT WEATHER ...

the skill of monsoon prediction from the short range to the seasonal scale through the application of coupled atmospheric–ocean models. The northern annular ...