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Data Versus Uncertainty About Our Future


Data Versus Uncertainty About Our Future - Risk Musings

One way to deal with uncertainty in the macro world is to increase resilience and certainty in our micro worlds. That means building and ...

David Spiegelhalter Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future

Uncertainty about probabilities can arise from statistical error, ambiguous or limited data, over- simplification of complex risk ...

The Power of Data in Uncertain Times - Gordian

Utilizing models rooted in trusted data that help drive rational decision-making is particularly important in times of crisis. For even the most ...

Uncertainty Clouds The Future - Forbes

The Uncertainty Index is based on the total number of “uncertain” responses to the questions. Each respondent can give up to six uncertain ...

The future lies in uncertainty

learning from large data sets ( 3). To assess the uncertainty about unknown or future quantities, statisticians tend to build probability ...

Rising Seas, Unknown Future: How to Communicate Uncertainty?

Uncertainty is a key factor for researchers as they try to draw conclusions from available data – whether robust or sparse – about how natural ...

We're using data to prepare for an uncertain future - Texas 2036

With this newsletter, we've identified and are helping implement policy solutions to make an uncertain future safer and more secure.

Embracing uncertainty in a world of big data predictions

We live in a world in which we're increasingly looking for control, for certainty. · Before we leave the house we can check the weather, check ...

The Role of Uncertainties in Scenario Planning - Serious Insights

That means that all speculation about the future proves essentially data free. No assertion, no matter how grounded in current data, will yield ...

Navigating an uncertain future with a clearer view of data - LinkedIn

Data will play a pivotal role in supporting leaders through these make or break choices. But an overwhelming amount of data or poorly managed ...

The Future of Prediction: From Statistical Uncertainty to Algorithmic ...

Because we cannot know in advance what will happen tomorrow, we calculate and manage our present uncertainty. Since the early modern age, the ...

Futures Thinking Now: Facing Uncertainty - KnowledgeWorks

We articulate uncertainties. We sometimes ask, “What if?” Other times, we identify a topic or an area of life that feels particularly uncertain.

Why it's so hard to think effectively about the future - Quartz

Your brain versus the future ... Brains are built to rely on data. As humans, we make, and rely on, unconscious inferences about tomorrow, based ...

Learning from the Future - Harvard Business Review

Uncertainty stems from our inability to compare the present to anything we've previously experienced. When situations lack analogies to the past, we have ...

Why we fear uncertainty — and why we shouldn't - Vox

... the kind of problems that involve or demand uncertainty. So years of ... data, like browsing data or unique identifiers, on your device.

Visualizing uncertainty about the future - PubMed

We are all faced with uncertainty about the future, but we can get the measure of some uncertainties in terms of probabilities.

Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty

Deep uncertainty occurs when decision makers and stakeholders do not know or cannot agree on how likely different future scenarios are. If there's not an ...

Embracing an Uncertain Future - Serenity in Suffering

Many believe they control the future or influence future outcomes, but only God knows the “end from the beginning”. “Declaring the end from ...

The two big uncertainties shaping our future | World Economic Forum

A context of high volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity only exacerbates the likelihood of error. We propose a different way to ...

Envisioning the future in the present: making sense of uncertainty

Uncertainty, in that sense, is not only an objective condition, something that lies beyond the realm of statistics, but a feeling, which emerges ...