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Do Subjects Understand Base Rates?


Do Subjects Understand Base Rates? - ScienceDirect.com

These results, all based on frequency formats and qualitative dependent measures, strongly support the conclusion that subjects do not understand the concept ...

Do Subjects Understand Base Rates? - CiteSeerX

Do Subjects Understand Base Rates? Gernot D. Kleiter and Marianne Krebs. Department of Psychology, University of Salzburg. Hellbrunnerstr. 34, A-5020 Salzburg ...

Do Subjects Understand Base Rates? - ScienceDirect.com

Regular Article. Do Subjects Understand Base Rates?☆, ; Gernot D · Kleiter ; Marianne Krebs ; Michael E · Doherty ; Hugh Garavan ; Randall Chadwick ...

Do Subjects Understand Base Rates? - IDEAS/RePEc

Kleiter, Gernot D. & Krebs, Marianne & Doherty, Michael E. & Garavan, Hugh & Chadwick, Randall & Brake, Gregory, 1997. "Do Subjects Understand Base Rates?," ...

Experts use base rates in real-world sequential decisions - PMC

Human behavior is often assumed to be irrational, full of errors, and affected by cognitive biases. One of these biases is base-rate neglect ...

Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab

The base rate fallacy refers to how we tend to rely more on specific information than we do statistics when making probability judgments. Why it happens. There ...

Problem understanding the calculation of normative (Bayesian ...

Thus participants partially took base rates into account. If they were completely ignoring base rates these values would be the same, rather ...

Explaining.Mind96: Re: The Base Rate Fallacy

Therefore it can be wrong to ignore base rates. It is not yet clear that you understand base rates. Re-read the shorter. Koehler article in ...

When Do Base Rates Affect Predictions?

Subjects who were given no individuating evidence and, hence, could not rely on representativeness utilized the base rate appropriately. Subsequent studies have ...

Learning to commit or avoid the base-rate error - PubMed

Finally we show that teaching subjects new arbitrary relations reintroduces the error in later testing. These experiments demonstrate a fundamental base-rate ...

Base Rate Fallacy - (Preparatory Statistics) - Fiveable

Base rate fallacy can significantly distort decision-making by causing individuals to disregard essential statistical information. For example, in a medical ...

information on the use of base rates - jstor

both experiments were consistently less than 100%, we can conclude that subjects did not consider the descriptive information to be 100% diagnostic ...

Presentation and content: The use of base rates as a continuous ...

Do subjects, in probability revision experiments, generally neglect base rates ... rates, but we do not know, because the subjects were not asked. In this ...

Base Rates Versus Prior Beliefs in Bayesian Inference

However, there is no evidence that I know of showing that subjects, who are simultaneously shown both likelihood and base-rate information and then appear to ...

Base Rate Theory and School Psychology - Taylor & Francis Online

It examines conditions that either induce or prevent subjects from using base rates, and uses these conditions to analyze a study of special ...

Base rate fallacy - Wikipedia

The base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is a type of fallacy in which people tend to ignore the base rate (e.g., ...

The Base Rate Problem and Its Consequences for Interpreting ...

The prob- lem is that we know far more about how to develop interpretive hypotheses than we do about their validity. Multiple sources of evidence can be used to ...

The Base Rate Fallacy: What It Is And How To Overcome It - Forbes

The base rate fallacy causes us to ignore or undervalue general information and instead focus on data that is more specific but less ...

Intuitive Theories of Events and the Effects of Base-Rate Information ...

For one half of the subjects, the base rate provided causal infor- mation, for the other half it did not. Causal base rate information: Two years ago, a final ...

Base rate fallacy - (Mathematical Probability Theory) - Fiveable

People tend to focus more on vivid or memorable cases rather than statistical data, which can lead to misjudging probabilities based on the base rate fallacy.