Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality

Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality - jstor

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality. RONALD D. LEE and LAWRENCE R. CARTER*. Time series methods are used to make long-run forecasts, with confidence ...

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality - Taylor & Francis Online

Abstract. Time series methods are used to make long-run forecasts, with confidence intervals, of age-specific mortality in the United States from 1990 to 2065.

Modeling and Forecasting US Mortality - Ronald D. Lee, Lawrence ...

This model is fit to the matrix of U.S. death rates, 1933 to 1987, using the singular value decomposition (SVD) method; it accounts for almost ...

[PDF] Modeling and forecasting U. S. mortality | Semantic Scholar

Time series methods are used to make long-run forecasts, with confidence intervals, of age-specific mortality in the United States from 1990 ...

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality: Comment - NYU Stern

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality: Comment. Author(s): Juha M. Alho. Reviewed work(s):. Source: Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 87 ...

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality: Rejoinder - NYU Stern

Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality: Rejoinder. Author(s): Ronald D. Lee and Lawrence R. Carter. Reviewed work(s):. Source: Journal of the American ...

Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting ...

The introduction of the Lee–Carter (LC) method marked a breakthrough in mortality forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach.

Modeling and Forecasting Cause-of-Death Mortality by ... - SOA

Note that the Society of Actuaries (2019) has already provided U.S. population mortality observations studying the evolution of death rates by cause-of-death ...

FORECASTING U.S. MORTALITY: - Carter - Wiley Online Library

Single time varying parameters of k, the index of mortality, are derived from these model and fitted and forecasted using the two methodologies. Forecasts of ...

Modeling and forecasting mortality with economic, environmental ...

The approaches to forecast mortality are generally classified into three categories, namely the extrapolation, explanation and the expectation ...

Modeling and Forecasting Cause-of-Death Mortality - SOA

Therefore, to complete the data for 2014–. 2016, the authors used the data furnished by the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD), which provides the U.S. deaths ...

Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction - Genus - SpringerOpen

An error term is included to capture age-period effects that are not captured by the model. Subsequently, mortality is forecasted by ...

Modelling and forecasting mortality - SCOR

the USA in order to forecast life expectancy in each American states and jurisdictions with ... Modeling and forecasting US mortality. Journal of the American ...

Modeling and Forecasting Mortality With Economic Growth

Separate single-population models fitted to individual populations may fail to generate coherent forecasts because the resulting mortality trend ...

Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality

Joint forecasts ofkt are juxtaposed to co-integration speculatively as a direction for future research into linkages between male and female mortality.

Forecasting United States mortality using cohort smoking histories

There is no universally accepted method for projecting mortality. · There have been 3 major programs of mortality forecasting in the United States: projections ...

(PDF) The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various ...

This model is fit to historical data. The resulting estimate of the time-varying parameter is then modeled and forecast as a stochastic time series using ...

Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods

Significant developments in mortality forecasting since 1980 are reviewed under three broad approaches: expectation, extrapolation and explanation.

Modeling and Forecasting Mortality Projections | CEAR

In the main text of the paper, we focus on the analysis of the specific data set of the U.S. female population, based on the Lee-Carter approach. More ...

Bayesian forecasting model: predicting U.S. male mortality

Abstract. This article presents a Bayesian approach to forecast mortality rates. This approach formalizes the Lee–Carter method as a statistical model ...