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Modelling a secular slowdown in China


Modelling a Secular Slowdown in China: An Exercise Using NiGEM

In this NiGEM Topical Feature we examine what would happen if Chinese growth slowed temporarily or permanently relative to our central forecast.

Modelling a secular slowdown in China: an exercise using NiGEM

Abstract. In this NiGEM Topical Feature we examine what would happen if Chinese growth slowed temporarily or permanently relative to our central forecast.

Modelling a secular slowdown in China: an exercise using NiGEM

By Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Barry Naisbitt and Patricia Sanchez-Juanino; Abstract: In this NiGEM Topical Feature we examine what would happen ...

The evolution of China's growth model: challenges and long-term ...

Since the global financial crisis, GDP growth has been on a secular decline in China, partly due to structural headwinds. Total factor productivity (TFP) ...

China's Slowdown - KDI Journal of Economic Policy

Sustaining growth in the longer term will require China to step away from investment, debt and export-fueled growth in favor of a balanced growth model with ...

Global Implications of China's Economic Expansion

This continued economic slowdown points to three major challenges to China's economic growth model that has sustained China's growth in the ...

Is China decelerating or recovering? - Atlantic Council

Still more secular stagnation will come—until Beijing gets back to long-deferred structural reform work that President Xi Jinping started in ...

China's economy is transforming – not in secular decline - VanEck

Exhibit 5. “China's green and digital economy will soon fully offset the slowdown in fixed investment, including a saturated housing market.”

China's GDP Grew in 2023, but Economic Strains Lurk

Western economists predict that growth will be 4.5 percent or less this year, the result not of a cyclical downturn but of a grinding decline ...

China's Economic Slowdown: Structural or Cyclical? - YouTube

China's economy has shown signs of difficulty. Prices are falling, private investment is not growing, corporate sales have stagnated.

How China's Slowing Economy Affects the United States - NCUSCR

Houze Song: I would say the general trend is really one of slowdown. First, as the country gets richer, it becomes more difficult to maintain high growth. At ...

China's 'New Normal': Is the growth slowdown demand- or supply ...

Thus we can conclude that the characterisation of the slowdown as “New Normal” is quite appropriate and that the Chinese government was correct in its view that ...

Why Is China's Economy Faltering? - Project Syndicate

While some economists may argue that secular stagnation is to blame for China's economic slowdown, concerns about sustained slower growth are ...

China policy: From cyclical to secular - Principal Asset Management

China's recent policy tone appears to shift from their countercyclical policies with large fiscal stimuli of the past, a move that will likely have ...

Surplus Absorption, Secular Stagnation, and the Transition to ...

However, in recent years, the Chinese economy has decelerated sharply. According to China's official statistics, after peaking at 11.3 percent ...

World Economic Outlook, April 2024; Chapter 3: Slowdown in Global ...

The chapter's main findings are as follows: • The decline in medium-term growth projections is widespread, reflecting secular forces rather than forecaster ...

The Great Creep Backward: Policy responses to China's slowing ...

Harvard Kennedy School Professor Rana Mitter and Harvard Business School Associate Professor Meg Rithmire say that after decades of tremendous growth, an ...

Decoding China's Economic Slowdown - Asia Society

Panelists also discussed evidence of how much China had deviated from the East Asian development model. Com- paring long-term trajectories of ...

The Peril of Peaking Powers: Economic Slowdowns and ...

Yet the sharpest phase of that competition could be more like a sprint in the 2020s, because China has entered a perilous period: it has ...

China: Country File, Economic Risk Analysis | Coface

The underlying problem for Chinese economic development is structural. China is going through a secular deleveraging of its economy. It has been far too ...