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Prediction Markets Are a Thing Now


Prediction Markets Are a Thing Now - Bloomberg

Matt Levine is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. A former investment banker at Goldman Sachs, he was a mergers and acquisitions lawyer at Wachtell, ...

How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn't

For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn't surprising at all. The basic theory behind ...

Online prediction betting markets look ahead after US presidential ...

Wagering platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket want to expand rapidly, offering bets on awards, epidemics, the economy and more, ...

Prediction Markets Tell a Different Story From the Polls

Supporters say the platforms are better at predicting the election. But questions have arisen about recent big bets, as they show a big lead ...

Prediction Markets Are Basking in Their Election Win. Can It Last?

History suggests the platforms have flourished during U.S. presidential elections, then struggled afterward.

Why election prediction markets might not take off in the U.S. - Axios

They're also very unlikely to receive widespread attention outside presidential election campaigns. The profit potential is low since prediction ...

Prediction market - Wikipedia

Prediction markets, also known as betting markets, information markets, decision markets, idea futures or event derivatives, are open markets that enable ...

Why Robinhood's CEO thinks prediction markets are here to stay

Robinhood company saw over 500000 bets made on the November 5th US presidential race. “It's the fastest way to get information about what's ...

The money is flooding in, but what are prediction markets truly telling ...

Why are Kalshi's election odds priced so differently from the polls right now? Jack Such, Kalshi: You're correct that some people will bet with ...

Betting Markets Nailed Trump's Win, Beating Traditional Polling

"This is the dawn of a new era for prediction markets," Kalshi's founder said. Betting markets called Trump's win weeks before the election.

The first prediction markets election sparks integrity fears - Axios

"Election markets are coming!" That was the message splashed across the prediction market Kalshi homepage on Monday, along with a note ...

Polymarket Saw Trump's Win Coming. What's Next for Online ...

President-elect Donald Trump wasn't the only one declaring victory on Wednesday. So were the online betting markets that forecast his ...

How Prediction Markets Have Turned American Politics Into a Casino

There's a new wave of fintech start-ups—Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt—that want to turn betting on the outcome of an election or a war as easy ...

Election prediction markets are bringing in billions - Morning Brew

Americans are flocking to platforms like Kalshi, PredictIt, and Polymarket to bet on the upcoming presidential election.

prediction markets | PBS News

Donald Trump was elected president, but the grand majority of polls, pollsters and prediction markets showed that a Clinton presidency was more likely. How did ...

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

The race that Donald Trump ultimately ran away with was deemed neck and neck for days — unless you looked at the prediction markets. Election ...

Trump leads Harris on Robinhood's new prediction market with 100 ...

2023. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev announced on X that the company's new presidential election prediction market traded 100 million contracts in its ...

Don't Trust the Political Prediction Markets | TIME

Jeffrey Sonnenfeld is the Lester Crown Professor of Leadership Practice and President of the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute.

How the Trump Whale and Prediction Markets Beat the Pollsters in ...

The success of Polymarket and other betting platforms in calling the election will bring an end to the era of political forecasting as we ...

PredictIt

Browse Markets. Check out the range of available markets on which you can try and predict the outcome. Make A Prediction. Think everyone's got it wrong? Put ...