Some new climate models are projecting extreme warming. Are they ...

A conundrum emerges. Over the past year, the CMIP6 collection of models being reviewed threw researchers an unexpected curveball: a significant ...

Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming ...

A new evaluation of global climate models used to project Earth's future global average surface temperature finds that most have been quite ...

Analysis: How well have climate models projected global warming?

Scientists have been making projections of future global warming using climate models of increasing complexity for the past four decades.

Some New Climate Models are Projecting Extreme Warming. Are ...

Recent climate models are 'running hot,' projecting catastrophic global warming. Puzzled scientists are weighing whether the models need ...

Guest post: How climate scientists should handle 'hot models'

The latest “CMIP6” generation of climate models includes a subset of “hot models” that point towards much greater warming than expected.

High end of climate sensitivity in new climate models seen as less ...

Because models with higher climate sensitivity forecast greater warming from greenhouse gas emissions, they also project more dire — and ...

What's wrong with these climate models?

Climate models accurately predicted ocean warming, but observed sea surface temperatures show the reality is more complicated.

5 reasons why current climate models underestimate extreme ...

The short answer is no. In fact, the IPCC reports have shown us that models have accurately projected the rise in GHG levels and the global average temperatures ...

The “hot model” problem: From democracy to meritocracy - Foresight

The latest generation of climate models that predict future temperatures and their impacts present what some researchers have defined as the “hot model problem ...

Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models

Climate models that guide energy policy do not even conserve energy, a necessary condition for any physically based model of the climate system.

Despited unexpected predictions climate models remain a powerful ...

The latest scientific evidence, using observed warming, paleoclimate data and our physical understanding of the climate system, suggests global ...

Basics of Global Climate Models

Observed changes in temperature and precipitation have generally been consistent with the changes projected by earlier models. The accurate projections of ...

Climate models reliably project future conditions | National Academies

Climate models provide reliable projections of many aspects of a warming planet over the next century and beyond due to human-caused climate change.

Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

Climate change doubters have a favorite target: climate models. They claim that computer simulations conducted decades ago didn't accurately predict current ...

Scientists combine climate models for more accurate projections

Researchers from institutions including the Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory have created a new method for statistically ...

Some of the latest climate models provide unrealistically high ...

A new study from University of Michigan climate researchers concludes that some of the latest-generation climate models may be overly sensitive to carbon ...

Are We Entering The Golden Age Of Climate Modeling? - Eos.org

Because the climate models rely, in a sense, on averages, they can't predict the outliers—those extreme events with the most potential for ...

What Are Climate Models and How Accurate Are They?

Weather models work at resolutions high enough to generate different predictions for neighboring towns, in some cases, but only over short ...

Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate ...

While the mean warming pattern is known to be relatively consistent across climate models and the relationship between relative humidity changes ...

Predictions of Future Global Climate | Center for Science Education

... some of the projected impacts of climate change ... Using models, scientists can project how these aspects of Earth are likely ...