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The Role of Inflation Persistence in the Inflation Process in the New ...


The Role of Inflation Persistence in the Inflation Process in the New ...

The second one assumes that inflation follows a fractionally integrated process and measures inflation persistence within an ARFIMA model. Statistical tests ...

The Role of Inflation Persistence in the Inflation Process i

We argue that the specific economic situation of the NMS in the last 15 years necessitates careful selection of inflation persistence measures. Two measures are ...

Has the Inflation Process Become More Persistent? Evidence from ...

We find that inflation persistence has broadly risen after the pandemic. As shown in figure 1, for the five selected economies, the sum of the ...

The Role of Inflation Persistence in the Inflation Process in the New ...

We argue that the specific economic situation of the NMS in the last 15 years necessitates careful selection of inflation persistence measures. Two measures are ...

The Role of Inflation Expectations in Monetary Policy

The takeaway was that monetary policy could influence long-term inflation expectations—and hence inflation—through persistent policy actions.

Untangling Persistent Inflation: Understanding the Factors at Work

In contrast, extrinsic persistence emerges from the fact that inflation reflects other persistent processes that drive production costs and price-setting ...

Trend Inflation, Indexation, and Inflation Persistence in the New ...

trend-inflation process, which we model as a driftless random walk. ... Other au- thors, following Gali and Gertler (1999), introduce a role for past inflation ...

Inflation Persistence - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

cost measure, and thus ignores the role of wages and productivity in the inflation process. ... persistence in inflation—the importance of lagged inflation in the ...

Inflation Persistence - ScienceDirect.com

In marked contrast, when lagged inflation is added to the inflation equation, inflation declines gradually to its new long-run equilibrium, with a concomitant ...

Inflation persistence and why it matters

A succession of shocks, persistence in the variables that underpin the inflation process –e.g. a large positive or negative output gap-, ...

How Persistent Is Inflation? | Richmond Fed

As a result, the effects of new inflation shocks became noticeably less persistent. The Fed may have been able to affect the persistence of new shocks, but ...

The Fed - A (Bayesian) Update on Inflation and Inflation Persistence

Experience in 2022 and early 2023 suggests that the Bayesian approach with notable inflation persistence provided good guidance on the inflation ...

The Layers of Inflation Persistence - Liberty Street Economics

To sum up, we find evidence of a decline in the size of the persistent component of core PCE inflation starting in September 2022. The decline ...

Inflation expectations, inflation persistence, and monetary policy ...

Importantly, since lagged inflation is pre-determined, the only way to get inflation down from high levels is to depress aggregate demand for an ...

Monetary Policy with Uncertain Inflation Persistence in - IMF eLibrary

Informally, 'inflation persistence' denotes the tendency of the rate of change of prices (or wages) to remain constant in the absence of an ...

Inflation dynamics and persistence: The importance of the ...

Therefore, not allowing for time-varying coefficients in the estimation procedure would result in less accurate modelling of the inflation process. Second, ...

Breaking the persistence of inflation - European Central Bank

But the second phase of the inflation process is now starting to become stronger. Workers have so far lost out from the inflation shock, seeing ...

Inflation Persistence - jstor

the conventional contracting model, but cannot reject the new contracting model. The most popular model of sticky prices today is the overlapping wage contract ...

Global: inflation persistence and why it matters - LinkedIn

Persistently high inflation could weaken the credibility of the central bank and cause an un-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations. To ...

Is Inflation Persistence Over? - SciELO

Many emerging economies, however, show increasing persistence and even a few have highly persistent inflationary processes. We also observe structural breaks in ...