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Tracking global economic uncertainty


Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for the euro area

This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al.

Tracking global economic uncertainty - European Central Bank

This box assesses the role of uncertainty in the recent slowdown of global investment and trade.

How High Economic Uncertainty May Threaten Global Financial ...

Uncertainty is not as easily measured as traditional indicators like growth or inflation, but economists have built some reliable proxies.

Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook

Tracking uncertainty at a high frequency is useful in the context of the multiple shocks that have hit the global economy over the past ...

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

We develop a new method to measure economic policy uncertainty and test its dynamic relationship with output, investment, and employment.

World Uncertainty Index: Home

The World Uncertainty Index is a measure that tracks uncertainty across the globe by text mining the country reports of the Economist Intelligence Unit. The ...

Tracking Global Economic Uncertainty: Implications for the Euro Area

We find that global uncertainty shocks have been, and continue to be, an important driver of fluctuations in euro area activity. Specifically, ...

Tracking Global Economic Uncertainty: Implications for the Euro Area

We find that global uncertainty shocks have historically been important drivers of fluctuations in euro area economic activity, with one standard deviation ...

Global Economic Uncertainty Remains Elevated, Weighing on Growth

To better track the evolution of these conditions, we updated our World Uncertainty Index to show more frequent readings that are monthly, ...

Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

To construct a Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) Index, we proceed as follows: First, we re-normalize each national EPU index to a mean of 100 from 1997 ...

Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook

Tracking uncertainty at a high frequency is useful in the context of the multiple shocks that have hit the global economy over the past years and to ...

Visualizing the Rise of Global Economic Uncertainty

Researchers have documented a rise in economic uncertainty in recent years, using text-based measures that track descriptions of economic ...

Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook

Tracking uncertainty at a high frequency is useful in the context of the multiple shocks that have hit the global economy over the past years and to ...

Uncertainty Data: Macro and Financial Indexes - Sydney Ludvigson

This site provides Uncertainty index data for the broader macro economy and the financial sector. The indexes use the methodology described in Measuring ...

Economic Policy Uncertainty | FRED | St. Louis Fed

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for United States, Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Current Price Adjusted GDP, Equity Market Volatility Tracker: ...

The Research - World Uncertainty Index

... Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook". September 2022 ... “Tracking uncertainty in a rapidly changing global economic outlook”.

implications for global investment and trade - EconPapers - RePEc

Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for global investment and trade ... Related works: This item may be available elsewhere in ...

World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) report

Although global economic growth outperformed expectations in 2023 with several large economies showing remarkable resilience, simmering geo-political tensions ...

Economic Monitoring - World Bank

Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year, raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights ...

Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Current Price Adjusted ...

The Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 20 countries.