Trump has gained in 538's forecast

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

538's 2024 presidential election forecast shows a very close, toss-up race, with Trump taking a small lead.

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538's final forecast for the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is officially out, ...

Donald Trump : Favorability Polls | FiveThirtyEight

In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date. Added Surveyed ...

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election - ABC News

538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House.

Donald Trump Now Favorite With Five Major Election Forecasters

The former president's polling numbers have improved, but the 2024 race is still largely considered a toss-up.

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

139 votes, 184 comments. 38K subscribers in the fivethirtyeight community. FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign ...

Donald's Trump's Chances Plunge in Major Election Forecast

The decline means Trump and the Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, are tied with 269 electoral votes each. In this scenario, ...

Opinion Today on X: "Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the ...

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up. (@gelliottmorris @FiveThirtyEight) https://t.co/8ntkwISofB.

Nate Silver: My 'gut says' Donald Trump could win election - The Hill

Nate Silver said his “gut” right now is that former President Trump will win the election in less than two weeks, but he cautioned against ...

538's prediction has flipped to Trump for the first time since Harris ...

I knew Nate's model has Trump ahead by a bit but I didn't know even 538 had him ahead. Their Trump v Biden had a ton of weight towards the ...

Donald Trump Surges in Top Election Forecast - MSN

The prediction model from 538 gives Trump a 45 percent of victory, up from 39 percent in mid-September.

538 Forecast Model Relaunches for Harris vs. Trump General Election

"538 is excited to unveil our forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Our forecast starts out with a slight ...

FiveThirtyEight's 2024 Election Forecast | Two Weeks ... - YouTube

The AP has called the presidential race for Donald Trump. See more on Google. Learn more · Learn more about how The Associated Press calls ...

Trump's slight lead in Pennsylvania could give him Electoral College ...

In analyst Nate Silver's aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.6–47.5, a slight gain for Trump ...

Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast

Our forecast shows President Joe Biden locked in a practically tied race with former President Donald Trump, both in the Electoral College and national popular ...

Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast - YouTube

Who is favored to win the 2024 presidential election? Pres. Biden and former Pres. Trump are currently in a very close race, according to ...

FiveThirtyEight founder on election odds: It's a high-stakes moment

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the upcoming 2024 presidential election, election odds, risk-taking ...

Opinion | Nate Silver: My Gut Says Trump, but Don't Trust Anyone's ...

... is the only responsible forecast. Since the debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, that is more or less exactly where my model has had ...

FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast

And an archive of the Biden-Trump forecast can be found here. The polls: who's ahead right now? The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a ...

Nate Silver says conventional wisdom, not data, killed 2016 election ...

On Election Day, nearly every public polling firm predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidency. The only real debate was by how large ...