Events2Join

Using Wikipedia for conflict forecasting


Using Wikipedia for conflict forecasting - the Loop: ECPR

We propose a new data source for conflict forecasting efforts: Wikipedia. The number of country page views indicates international salience of, or interest in, ...

Click, click boom: Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle ...

We expect these predictors to be particularly successful in capturing tensions before a conflict escalates. We test our argument by predicting ...

Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle-related deaths - OSF

We expect these predictors to be particularly successful in capturing tensions before a conflict escalates. We test our argument by predicting changes in battle ...

Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle-related deaths

Abstract Data and methods development are key to improve our ability to forecast conflict. Relatively recent data sources such as mobile phone and social ...

Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle-related deaths

We expect these predictors to be particularly successful in capturing tensions before a conflict escalates. We test our argument by predicting changes in battle ...

Conflict early warning - Wikipedia

The field of conflict early warning seeks to forecast the outbreak of armed conflict, or, at minimum, to detect the early escalation of violence, with the ...

Predicting security-related incidents and conflict fatalities with ... - OSF

Conflict forecasting has seen two recent developments: a shift to predicting continuous variables and a debate about the value of structural ...

POS6933 Conflict Forecasting Seminar - UF Political Science

(2022) Click, click boom: Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle-related deaths. International Interactions 48:4, pages 678-696. Lisa Hultman ...

Conflict and Computation on Wikipedia: A Finite-State Machin

What is the boundary between a vigorous argument and a breakdown of relations? What drives a group of individuals across it? Taking Wikipedia as a test case, we ...

"Lessons from a Conflict Escalation Prediction Competition" | VIEWS

Click, click boom: Using Wikipedia data to predict changes in battle-related deaths. Christian Oswald & Daniel Ohrenhofer. Pages: 678-696.

Assessing The Technical Feasibility of Conflict Prediction for ...

Conflict Forecasting with Event Data and Spatio-Temporal ... Click, Click Boom: Using Wikipedia Data to Predict Changes in Battle-Related Deaths, Int.

Predicting armed conflict using protest data - Sage Journals

In contrast to previous prediction efforts with protest data, our approach improves both armed conflict onset and incidence forecasts at the ...

(PDF) Predicting conflict-prone disputes using the structure of turn ...

These results show that monitoring of turn-taking patterns may become one of the easy heuristics that help detect conflicts in task-oriented ...

Armed Conflict Location and Event Data - Wikipedia

In addition to data collection, the ACLED team conducts analysis to describe, explore, and test conflict scenarios, with analysis made freely available to the ...

Dynamics of Conflicts in Wikipedia | PLOS ONE

In this work we study the dynamical features of editorial wars in Wikipedia (WP). Based on our previously established algorithm, we build up samples of ...

Predicting armed conflict using protest data - Sage Journals

... predicting conflict using more extensive conflict history data. ... Oswald, Christian & Daniel Ohrenhofer (2022) Click, click boom: Using Wikipedia data to ...

Wikipedia Conflict Representation in Articles of War

With the help of a discourse-historical approach, a textual corpus composed of the talk pages of three controversial, socio-political ...

Predicting conflict-prone disputes using the structure of turn-taking

We propose that one of the indices that could be used for conflict detection is the dynamics of turn-taking, i.e., the manner in which group ...

Forecasting - Wikipedia

Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Later these can be compared with what actually happens.

Disputes on Wikipedia

... conflict, and the measurement and prediction of conflict or controversial articles. ... conflict-based culture associated with conventional masculine ...