Why Smart Money Is No Longer Willing To Bet Against A Trump ...

While India has to prepare for the possibility of a Joe Biden win in the US presidential elections in November, it is equally important to avoid ...

Nate Silver: Don't trust Trump swing in polling, prediction markets

Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it's not because polling or markets data has ...

Why the smart money's still on Biden - The Hill

Republicans may be unable to see red state culture wars driving away general election voters. But gamblers can see the odds fading on a GOP ...

Here's why you shouldn't put your faith - on election betting markets

Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn't stopped people from making wagers.

Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem—Asterisk

Weeks after it was clear that Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, you could still make pennies on the dollar betting Joe Biden would win. Why doesn't smart ...

Be wary of betting your finances on political promises - Star Tribune

The president doesn't have as much influence on market performance as many people believe.

The 'Trump Trade' Isn't What You Think - The Wall Street Journal

It is hard for investors to bet on politics. If you must, the cleanest way to do it is in the betting markets, not the stock market. Write to ...

Smart Money vs. Dumb Money in Election 2024 ft. Cem Karsan

Get a taste of PRO MACRO for FREE until November 1 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Cem Karsan, founder of Kia Volatility Advisors, ...

The Crypto Betting Platform Predicting a Trump Win | The New Yorker

Polymarket has seen a recent surge in pro-Trump election bets. Is it the movement of a rational market or a concerted campaign?

Wall Street's Big Bet on a Trump Win - New York Magazine

Gold, bitcoin, prisons, and oil are all thought to be the big moneymakers for the financial class if Trump wins another term.

Betting market Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO ...

Kalshi had won. Against all odds, the small startup had beat its regulator in court, forcing the government to legalize election betting.

Trump's Polymarket Election Odds Top 65% - Forbes

The betting odds of former President Donald Trump winning next month's election rose to their highest level since President Joe Biden ceded ...

How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn't

For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn't surprising at all. The basic theory behind ...

Trump has 54% chance of winning — say markets, not polls

Kalshi, a new platform that was only approved to accept bets on the election last month and has already had users wager more than $100 ...

The Stock Market Doesn't Care if Trump Wins the Election. Crypto ...

The stock market might not care whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins November's presidential election, but the bond market and bitcoin sure might.

How Prediction Markets Have Turned American Politics Into a Casino

There's a new wave of fintech start-ups—Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt—that want to turn betting on the outcome of an election or a war as easy ...

Peter Kinsella: The smart money is calling it for Trump. Get ready for ...

The financial markets have made up their mind on the outcome of the US Presidential election. Betting markets, which gave even odds on both ...

The Trump-Betting Whale Speaks Out: 'I Have Absolutely No ...

Self-described French trader says he bet more than $30 million on U.S. election after analyzing polls.

'That's a good thing for democracy': Is gambling making politics fun?

People can't get enough of betting on the 2024 presidential election, and thanks to a recent legal ruling, it's easier than ever for ...

Wall Street is going all-in on election betting markets. What you ...

Political betting markets aren't new, but a too-close-to-call, high-stakes presidential election and wariness over traditional polling has ...