Why the yield curve steepener should have more room to run

Capital Group's interest rates team has a long-held conviction in a yield curve steepener. This can happen either by short-term yields falling more than long- ...

Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?

Of course, the empirical results we have described in this article do not imply that a yield-curve inversion causes a recession. Rather, it could be that the ...

Treasuries Experience a 'Curve Steepener.' Why It's Time to Bail on ...

Most of the steepening has come from the 10-year yield rising, rather than the two-year's decline, meaning factors beyond the near-term ...

Bull steepeners find fertile soil during the summer break - Saxo Bank

Curve steepeners might have further room to run in the next few weeks. The front part of the yield curve will ... more rate hikes. Thus, the ...

Yield Curve Inversion.... This Time Is Not Different | Dreyfus

... would instead make an inversion in the yield curve more likely. The idea ... We believe long-term bond yields have further room to rise. One regularity ...

Yield Curve Steepening Likely to Continue - T. Rowe Price

30-year yields will increase, so we have positioned the fund for modestly higher long-term rates and a longer-run continuation of the yield curve steepening ...

Treasury yield curve inches toward normalcy as bond market ...

"Steepening will continue as the Fed has signaled it will be cutting rates and the economy doesn't appear headed for a deep recession," said ...

UST yield curve bear-steepening—Rationale and outlook

... rate, then this suggests the neutral/longer-run rates need to be higher. Although that's what the market is pricing, we believe this ...

2023 Q3 Review and Outlook – The Bear Steepener

Normally, a steepening yield curve implies a more optimistic outlook for the economy, as bond investors expect some combination of higher inflation (from higher ...

Yield Curve Strategies | CFA Institute

Yield curve steepeners seek to gain from a greater spread between short- and long-term yields-to-maturity by combining a “long” short-dated bond position with a ...

Macro matters: Markets bear the brunt of yield curve steepening

When yield curve inversion eventually corrects to its more “normal” shape—in other words, steepens—markets typically do well. Ironically, this ...

Investment strategies for a steepening yield curve - UMB Blog

Municipal Bonds: A ladder approach in a rising rate environment. ... With short term rates staying lower for longer and a steepening of the yield ...

Steeper bond curve expected, CPI to further help bonds

Though steepening of the Treasury yield curve may continue in the short term, we think recent bear steepening may soon conclude in favor of bull ...

Interest Rates, Real Rates and the Yield Curve - Omnia Family Wealth

The treasury yield curve is a chart that shows the interest rates of bonds with different maturity dates. It is an important economic indicator with a ...

Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders - RIA

The shift is due to weakening economic conditions, moderating inflation, and the increasing likelihood that the Fed will lower rates. Yield ...

How to Position Your Bond Portfolio as Short-Term Yields Fall

Cash No Longer a Free Lunch ... Falling short-term yields mean that the cushy returns investors have enjoyed on cash and ultra-short-dated ...

Staying Ahead of the Yield Curve - CME Group

A steepening yield curve often prompts a shift towards riskier assets, such as equities, reflective of optimism regarding economic prospects.

Is It Time for the Yield Curve to Finally Steepen? - AmeriVet Securities

The short answer is, generally yes. As economic activity slows toward the end of a business cycle, longer end rates typically begin to anticipate the slowdown.

Fixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak? | Lombard Odier

In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, ...

Twisting the Yield Curve Is More Than Just a Stress Test

Conversely, a bear steepener is characterized by long-term rates increasing faster than short-term rates. This yield curve twist tends to slow ...