How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn't

Donald Trump wins US election in historic comeback - BBC News

In a decisive victory, Trump wins a series of swing states, while his Republican Party also gains control of the Senate.

When Election Modelers Attack - New York Magazine

(Lichtman did suggest at the time that Trump would win the popular vote, which he did not; he has since clarified that his forecast only ...

Famed Election Predictor Allan Lichtman Reveals Likely ... - YouTube

Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor of History, American University, discusses the 13 "Keys to the White House.

Some Things I Don't Believe About Investing

Politicians don't control the economy, stock market, gas prices or grocery prices. Here are the total returns from the past four presidential ...

Trump moves ahead of Harris in Michigan as vote count continues

Republican former President Donald Trump, looking to take a huge step toward reclaiming the White House, took the lead away from Democratic ...

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live - 270toWin

For the first time in about a century, it is legal for US residents to trade election contracts in a regulated prediction market.

After Trump election, Arlington officials predict grim future - ARLnow

Fears of economic disruption, political instability and mass deportations are on the minds of Arlington elected officials following the ...

Trump fielded questions from supporters in Pa.; Harris spoke to ...

Get the latest news from the 2024 campaign trail in the contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump.

Why HuffPost's Presidential Forecast Didn't See A Donald Trump ...

Real Clear Politics uses those landline polls and doesn't include some online polls. HuffPost Pollster uses more online polling and excludes ...

The Rise of Fake Polls and the Case for Criminal Liability

And a special note of appreciation to the staff of the Missouri Law Review who worked on this piece – Emily. Holtzman, Michael Essma, Brittany Briggs, and ...

Comments - Stop Handwringing, Start Fighting - The Bulwark

Plus: The next GOP Senate gears up to hand Trump more of its power.

Playbook - Politico

THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: SHERROD BROWN — For Democrats, last week's election landed like a gut punch. You already know the story: working-class voters throughout ...

In Defense of 'Resistance' - Columbia Journalism Review

Last night, less than twenty-four hours after Donald Trump swept to a second term, Rachel Maddow appeared on MSNBC and offered a rallying cry to ...

DraftKings 'Looking At' Election Betting Markets After 2024 Race

DraftKings will explore non-sports betting prediction markets, specifically election betting, following the 2024 race.

How to feel about Trump winning the presidential election - Quora

Trump won because the American people are concerned, by in large, with kitchen economics. Many people do not have enough money for food and ...

How will Donald Trump's victory affect Australia's economy? Here ...

How might Australia be affected? The market reaction so far. Australian markets reacted to the prospect of a Trump win on Wednesday with shares ...

Trump's win was real but not a landslide. Here's where it ranks - KVIA

Turnout in 1996 and 2000 was not much over 50% of the voting-eligible population. In terms of the Electoral College, Trump is on track to win ...

FACETOLOGY - FACET Investment Management Limited

markets are concerned, it really is just about Brexit. ... In addition, it is noticeable how little pundits are quoting polling data given its dire predictive ...

Twilight of the Elites? | City Journal

Branding Trump and his supporters as everything from “fascist” to “deplorable” to “racist” to “garbage” did little to sway public opinion or the ...

Trump has 230 electoral votes to Harris' 210 so far in ... - Japan Today

Republican Donald Trump was leading in the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday, broadly drawing more support than he did in his failed ...