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Managing deep uncertainty


Decision making under deep uncertainty - Uncertain Futures

Decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) is an umbrella concept with a focus on helping decision makers identify and evaluate robust and adaptive ...

Data Collected for A Review of Decision Making Under Deep ...

... Deep Uncertainty Applications using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management. ... Deep Uncertainty Applications using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management.

Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: Should the Forest ...

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) is a subfield of decision science that focuses on developing and applying the frameworks, tools ...

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty : From Theory to Practice

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty.

Planning for Managed Retreat: Decision Making in the Face of ...

Abstract: Emerging planning methods can help agencies navigate today's deeply uncertain conditions and better position them for tomorrow's opportunities. Re...

The need for deep uncertainty analysis in energy policy and planning

This concept of making decisions with this degree of unknowns about the scope of future states is referred to as decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU).

Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and ...

This book integrates for readers three areas of knowledge, pertaining to risk-based project decision making: project risk management (PRM), ...

Managing Under Uncertainty | Risk Assessment Portal | US EPA

... deep uncertainty around climate change makes it different from other issues faced by the conservation and resource management community ...

Pardee RAND Plays Leading Role at DMDU Society Meeting

... managing deep uncertainty. "The DMDU meeting was such a joy to attend!" Nascimento de Lima said, adding, "It's so nice to see DMDU methods pioneered by ...

Better Water Decisions in the Age of Deep Uncertainty - Circle of Blue

Deep uncertainty acknowledges a dynamic system where inputs — such as rainfall or economic growth or regulations — are changing or unknown.

Transforming under deep uncertainty: A strategic perspective on risk ...

Our research shows how leading companies develop a strategic risk management (SRM) capability to increase their resilience and agility in response to deep ...

DECISION MAKING UNDER DEEP UNCERTAINTY

With assistance from external experts in DMDU techniques, the Ecosystem Sciences and Management. Working Group (ESMWG) reviewed the potential ...

Chapter: 5 Incorporating Uncertainty into Decision Making

As discussed earlier in this chapter, when decisions involve deep uncertainty, adaptive management approaches are particularly useful. Those approaches ...

new processes for decision making under deep uncertainty

Agreeing on robust decisions : new processes for decision making under deep uncertainty (anglais) ... Investment decision making is already ...

Understanding Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty

managing future uncertainty. One of the reasons that scenario planning is not always useful for managing future risk is that people have ...

Taming Deep Uncertainty: The Potential of Pragmatist Principles for ...

This article explores how the principles of Pragmatism may provide the building blocks for a theory of effective strategic crisis management. We argue that ...

Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning

Deep uncertainty requires policies that are not based on 'predict and act' but on 'prepare, monitor, and adapt', enabling policy adaptations over time.

Addressing deep uncertainty in space system development through ...

A key strategy to mitigate deep uncertainty is to update decisions when new information is learned. NASA's current uncertainty management processes do not ...

Structuring Decisions Under Deep Uncertainty - CORE

Decision structuring is an important part of a broader philosophy of managing uncertainty in decision making, and normative decision theorists ...

An approach to deep uncertainty in climate change adaptation policies

To deal with uncertainties in systems they should not be based on a single or limited number of scenarios, but incorporate flexibility to adapt to changing ...